
Trade discussion with Canada has stopped
Trump: We’re ending all trade talks with Canada. All trade talks with Canada terminated!
U.S. President Donald Trump says he’s pulling back from the bilateral trade discussions because Canada plans to move ahead with its digital services tax.

President blames Canada’s digital services tax in social media post.
This is why Trump decided to go back into a trade war with Canada:
Canada is proceeding with its digital services tax on technology companies such as Meta despite a G-7 agreement that resulted in removing the Section 899 “revenge tax” proposal from Donald Trumpâs tax bill https://t.co/QfKVDkKBGc
â Bloomberg (@business) June 27, 2025
Trump ending all trade talks with Canada immediately
U.S. President Donald Trump says his team is ending all trade talks with Canada effective immediately, citing disagreement over Canadaâs controversial digital services tax as the reason for shutting down negotiations.
He made the announcement in a post Friday on Truth Social, calling the levy âa direct and blatant attackâ on the U.S. and its technology companies.
Trumpâs announcement is a wrench in ongoing trade discussions between the two countries, which have been in the throes of a trade war for months, since the presidentâs first slate of tariffs on Canadian goods in February.
Trump has since levied a series of sweeping and stacked tariffs on Canadian products, targeting a range of industries. Canadian countermeasures are also in place.
Consequently,
Below is a real-time impact analysis and a breakdown of the potential impacts, based on his latest policy shift:-
đ´ Immediate Consequences (2025-2026)
1. Auto Industry Crisis (Biggest Risk)
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Tariffs Expected: 25% on Canadian-built vehicles (similar to Trumpâs 2018 threat).
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Impact:
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U.S. car prices spike (Toyota, Honda, Ford models made in Canada will cost more).
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Canadian job losses: Ontario plants (which export $50B+ in vehicles annually) face layoffs.
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Retaliation: Canada may tax U.S.-made EVs (e.g., Tesla, Rivian).
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2. Energy Trade Disruption
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Keystone XL Revival? Unlikely, but pipelines (Line 5, Enbridge) at risk if Trump pressures shutdowns.
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Oil Tariffs Possible: If imposed, U.S. refineries (which rely on Canadian heavy crude) will face shortages.
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Electricity Threat: Quebecâs hydro exports to New England could be taxed.
3. Agricultural Trade War Escalates
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Dairy & Poultry Targeted: Trump has long demanded Canada dismantle supply management.
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New Tariffs Likely: U.S. may tax Canadian beef, pork, or wheat (Canada could retaliate with tariffs on U.S. dairy, wine, or produce).
4. Aluminum/Steel Tariffs Return
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10-25% tariffs expected (as in 2018), hurting U.S. manufacturers (beer cans, cars, planes need Canadian aluminum).
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Canadaâs Move: May redirect exports to EU/Asia, but short-term pain for Quebec smelters.
5. Lumber Prices Surge
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U.S. homebuilders panic: Canada supplies ~30% of U.S. lumberânew tariffs = higher housing costs.
đ Long-Term Fallout (2026-2028)
| Sector | Canadaâs Pain | U.S. Pain |
|---|---|---|
| Autos | Ontario plant closures | Higher car prices, supply chaos |
| Oil/Gas | Alberta crude discounts deepen | Refinery shortages, gas price hike |
| Agriculture | Dairy farmers lose U.S. market | Food inflation (cheese, beef) |
| Manufacturing | Steel/aluminum layoffs | Beer, aerospace costs rise |
đ¨đŚ Canadaâs Likely Countermeasures
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Retaliatory Tariffs (Targeting swing states like Michigan, Wisconsin, Florida).
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Fast-Track EU/Asia Trade (Accelerate deals with India, UK, CPTPP nations).
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WTO Lawsuit (Challenging tariffs as illegal under USMCA/WTO rules).
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Domestic Subsidies (Bailouts for auto, dairy, and lumber sectors).
đşđ¸ U.S. Political Risks for Trump
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Blue-State Backlash: New England (reliant on Canadian hydro) and auto states (Michigan, Ohio) may revolt.
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Inflation Fears: Tariffs = higher consumer prices, undermining Trumpâs economic message.
đŽ Whatâs Next?
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July-August 2025: Canada announces counter-tariffs (likely targeting bourbon, oranges, EVs).
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Fall 2025: Auto giants (GM, Ford) lobby Trump to soften stance.
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2026: If no deal, USMCA collapse risk growsâcould trigger a full-blown trade war.
Your move, Canada!
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